# The Black Swan

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![The Black Swan](https://quivercdn.com/covers/penguin/nassim-nicholas-taleb/the-black-swan_978-01-4103-459-1.jpg?v=2026-04-23%2010%3A04%3A08)

- Book: [The Black Swan](https://www.bookquiver.com/nassim-nicholas-taleb/the-black-swan) ([The Black Swan.md](https://www.bookquiver.com/nassim-nicholas-taleb/the-black-swan.md))
- Authors: [Nassim Nicholas Taleb](https://www.bookquiver.com/nassim-nicholas-taleb)
- Publisher: Penguin
- ISBN: 978-01-4103-459-1
- Pages: 480
- Published: 2011-07-07
- Language: en_GB
- Binding: Softcover

## Description

The phenomenal international bestseller that shows us how to stop trying to predict everything - and take advantage of uncertainty What have the invention of the wheel, Pompeii, the Wall Street Crash, Harry Potter and the internet got in common? Why are all forecasters con-artists? Why should you never run for a train or read a newspaper? This book is all about Black Swans: the random events that underlie our lives, from bestsellers to world disasters. Their impact is huge; they're impossible to predict; yet after they happen we always try to rationalize them. 'Taleb is a bouncy and even exhilarating guide ... I came to relish what he said, and even develop a sneaking affection for him as a person' Will Self, Independent on Sunday 'He leaps like some superhero of the mind' Boyd Tonkin, Independent